Vulnerable To Foreign Competition


Heathrow’s economic importance is clear but the problem is that Heathrow is full.  Its two runways operate at 99% of capacity, which means the slightest problem – heavy rain, fog or head-winds – can result in serious delays.

In contrast, Paris has four runways, Amsterdam five and Frankfurt three, with a fourth approved and due to open in 2011.  All operate at approximately 75% of capacity and so are better able to cope with problems.  They have fewer delays and are able to offer more destinations as a result.

Air travel is a globally competitive business.  If airlines can’t fly from Heathrow, they will fly from other hub airports.  Since 1990, Heathrow’s list of destinations has dropped from 227 to 180.  By comparison, Amsterdam offers 260, Paris 223 and Frankfurt 265.  

The trend is clear even before Dubai completes its new six-runway hub airport, with the explicit aim of wresting from Heathrow the airline traffic that connects the United States and the Far East.  Dubai sees this as a key element in its ambition to the worlds greatest business centre.

Standing still is not an option.  If Heathrow is to stay in the global league, then a third runway is vital to keep it, and by extension the UK, competitive.

 


  Current passenger numbers (mppa) Runways Destinations served Current ATMs (arrivals and departures) 2010 ATM capacity % full
Heathrow 67.5 2 180 477,000 480,000 99%
Frankfurt 52.8 3 265 490,000 660,000 74.2%
Paris CDG 56.8 4 223 541,000 710,000 76.2%
Amsterdam Schipol 46.1 5 260 440,000 600,000 73.3%

Table key 
mppa: million passengers per annun 
ATMs: air traffic movements 
% full: Current ATMs as a proportion of 2010 capacity